Geopolitical risk
As AI is increasingly seen as a powerful technology, countries are racing to develop it ahead of their geopolitical rivals, a competition that could lead to geopolitical tensions [138], [139]... The emphasis of this risk is on harms that result from second-order effects, where geopolitical instabilities result from the race to develop AI, rather than on the direct consequences of the deployment or use of AI itself.
ENTITY
3 - Other
INTENT
2 - Unintentional
TIMING
3 - Other
Risk ID
mit1394
Domain lineage
6. Socioeconomic and Environmental
6.4 > Competitive dynamics
Mitigation strategy
- Prioritize the establishment of a robust, multilateral global governance framework, such as a World Council for Cooperative Intelligence (WCCI), tasked with harmonizing fundamental AI principles (safety, transparency, and accountability) and technical standards to ensure cross-border interoperability and manage systemic geopolitical risk. - Negotiate and implement binding international agreements that prohibit or strictly limit high-risk, destabilizing AI applications, including autonomous weapons systems and mass-scale AI-enabled disinformation campaigns, to prevent competitive escalation into open conflict or the erosion of democratic institutions. - Mandate the integration of advanced, AI-enabled geopolitical risk management systems within critical sectors, utilizing real-time monitoring, predictive analytics, and dynamic stress-testing to enhance organizational and national resilience against supply chain disruptions, trade barriers, and market volatility resulting from great power competition.